MLB Recap · May 31, 2026

Los Angeles Angels at Tampa Bay Rays: Final Score & Recap

LAA2
Final
TB5

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAA010000100291
TB10200020-571

The Story

Tampa Bay defeated Los Angeles 5-2 on May 31, 2026, at Tropicana Field, a result that aligned with the DiamondIQ model's estimate, which opened with a 77 percent pre-game home win probability and closed at 100 percent. The Rays built their lead methodically, scoring once in the first, twice in the third, and twice more in the seventh, while the Angels managed only a second-inning run and a solo shot in the seventh against a Tampa Bay staff that largely controlled the night. Los Angeles finished with nine hits but converted few of them into runs, committing one error that compounded the offensive inefficiency.

The game's most consequential sequence came on either side of the seventh inning. Logan O'Hoppe delivered the most impactful single swing of the night for the Angels, a home run off Casey Legumina that shifted win probability 12.3 percent in Los Angeles's favor and briefly tightened the deficit. Tampa Bay answered immediately in the bottom half, where Ben Williamson's single off Drew Pomeranz registered a 10.5 percent swing back toward the Rays, effectively sealing the outcome. Earlier, Victor Mesa Jr.'s third-inning single off Jack Kochanowicz had produced a 9.3 percent positive shift for Tampa Bay, and a Cedric Mullins walk in the same frame added another 8.4 percent, making the third inning the decisive stretch of the game. Yandy Díaz's groundout in the second, a negative 9.3 percent event for Tampa Bay, briefly interrupted the Rays' momentum but proved inconsequential.

Mitch Farris led all pitchers with a 17.2 percent WPA, the highest contribution of any player on either side, while Kevin Kelly added 6.3 percent and Shane McClanahan contributed 2.9 percent as the Rays' staff collectively suppressed the Angels. Among position players, Junior Caminero posted a 9.9 percent WPA alongside a team-high 1.1 RE24, indicating his contributions came in high-leverage run-scoring contexts. Williamson's 0.7 RE24 and O'Hoppe's 0.8 RE24 rounded out the top performers, though O'Hoppe's output ultimately came in a losing effort.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAA bats firstFinalTB win %LAA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 77.3% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Logan O'Hoppe Home Run
Top 7th · off Casey Legumina
+12.3%
Ben Williamson Single
Bot 7th · off Drew Pomeranz
+10.5%
Victor Mesa Jr. Single
Bot 3rd · off Jack Kochanowicz
+9.3%
Yandy Díaz Groundout
Bot 2nd · off Jack Kochanowicz
-9.3%
Bot 3rd · off Jack Kochanowicz
+8.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Ben Williamson+10.5%+0.7 RE24
Junior Caminero+9.9%+1.1 RE24
Logan O'Hoppe+8.6%+0.8 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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