MLB Recap · May 30, 2026

Minnesota Twins at Pittsburgh Pirates: Final Score & Recap

MIN9
Final
PIT10

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIN0115000209121
PIT16001020-10150

The Story

The Pittsburgh Pirates held off the Minnesota Twins 10-9 at PNC Park on May 30, 2026, in a game that swung dramatically across the middle innings before Pittsburgh ultimately secured the win. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with a 61 percent pre-game home win probability for the Pirates and closed at 100 percent, reflecting how thoroughly Pittsburgh controlled the late stages despite a Minnesota surge. The scoring was lopsided by half-inning: Pittsburgh erupted for six runs in the second while Minnesota answered with five in the fourth, and two more Pittsburgh runs in the seventh proved to be the decisive cushion.

The biggest individual swings came at pivotal moments on both sides. Josh Bell's double off Mitch Keller in the fourth added 15.0 percent win probability to Minnesota's ledger, igniting that five-run frame, and Kody Clemens contributed a single in the same inning worth 12.8 percent. But Pittsburgh's Jake Mangum delivered the most consequential blow of the game — a single off Bailey Ober in the bottom of the fifth that added 13.1 percent win probability — and Mangum finished as the game's top offensive performer by WPA at plus 28.8 percent with a plus 2.8 RE24. Brooks Lee drew a walk off Mason Montgomery in the eighth that briefly kept Minnesota's hopes alive at plus 17.1 percent, but Clemens followed with a groundout against Gregory Soto that surrendered 13.2 percent and effectively ended the threat.

Pittsburgh's bullpen closed the door with authority. Gregory Soto was the most impactful reliever in the game, accumulating plus 28.4 percent WPA, while Evan Sisk added plus 11.4 percent and Yohan Ramírez contributed plus 6.3 percent. Bryan Reynolds also made a meaningful offensive contribution for the Pirates, finishing at plus 11.1 percent WPA and plus 0.9 RE24. Minnesota managed 12 hits and committed one error, but the Twins were unable to convert in the final innings against a Pittsburgh relief corps that the DiamondIQ model ultimately viewed as insurmountable.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIN bats firstFinalPIT win %MIN win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 60.6% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Brooks Lee Walk
Top 8th · off Mason Montgomery
+17.1%
Josh Bell Double
Top 4th · off Mitch Keller
+15.0%
Kody Clemens Groundout
Top 8th · off Gregory Soto
-13.2%
Jake Mangum Single
Bot 5th · off Bailey Ober
+13.1%
Kody Clemens Single
Top 4th · off Mitch Keller
+12.8%

Top Batters by WPA

Jake Mangum+28.8%+2.8 RE24
Brooks Lee+17.1%+1.2 RE24
Bryan Reynolds+11.1%+0.9 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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