MLB Recap · May 30, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

PHI4
Final
LAD3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
PHI010000030461
LAD010100100390

The Story

The Philadelphia Phillies erased a late deficit to defeat the Los Angeles Dodgers 4-3 at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on May 30, 2026, completing the comeback despite the DiamondIQ model entering the game with a 66 percent home win probability for Los Angeles. The Dodgers scored in the second, fourth, and seventh innings to carry a 3-1 advantage into the eighth, but the Phillies rewrote the outcome in a span of half an inning against Tanner Scott.

The decisive sequence came in the top of the eighth, where Bryce Harper opened the frame with a single off Scott, a play the DiamondIQ model credited with a +12.5 percent win-probability swing. The inning culminated with Edmundo Sosa launching a home run off Scott that shifted win probability by +37.4 percent, the single largest swing of the game, turning what had been a two-run Dodgers lead into a 4-3 Philadelphia advantage. The Dodgers pushed back in the ninth with two outs, but Andy Pages grounded out to end the threat, a play that registered +31.6 percent in win probability added as Brad Keller and Jhoan Duran closed the door.

Sosa finished as the game's top performer by WPA at +27.2 percent alongside a +1.1 RE24, while Harper contributed steadily throughout, posting +21.7 percent WPA and a game-high +1.7 RE24 on the strength of his eighth-inning single and a walk drawn off Alex Vesia in the sixth. On the pitching side, Brad Keller led all arms with +23.3 percent WPA, benefiting in part from Alex Call's flyout in the bottom of the eighth that carried a -12.9 percent swing against Los Angeles's chances. The DiamondIQ model's estimate of the Dodgers' chances closed at zero percent.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025PHI bats firstFinalLAD win %PHI win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 65.9% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Edmundo Sosa Home Run
Top 8th · off Tanner Scott
+37.4%
Andy Pages Groundout
Bot 9th · off Jhoan Duran
+31.6%
Alex Call Flyout
Bot 8th · off Brad Keller
-12.9%
Bryce Harper Single
Top 8th · off Tanner Scott
+12.5%
Bryce Harper Walk
Top 6th · off Alex Vesia
+11.9%

Top Batters by WPA

Edmundo Sosa+27.2%+1.1 RE24
Andy Pages+26.4%-0.5 RE24
Bryce Harper+21.7%+1.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
Open Game Center →