Minnesota Twins at Pittsburgh Pirates: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 2 |
| PIT | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
The Story
Pittsburgh walked off Minnesota 6-5 at PNC Park on May 29, 2026, in a game that remained tight until the final swing. The DiamondIQ model entered the day with Pittsburgh favored at 59% and closed at 100% after Bryan Reynolds ended it in the bottom of the ninth with a walk-off home run off Taylor Rogers, a single swing that added 79.5 percentage points of win probability and instantly transformed a tied game into a Pirates victory.
The path to that moment was anything but straightforward. Minnesota grabbed early momentum with Trevor Larnach homering off Jared Jones in the top of the third, a blast worth plus 20.0 points of win probability that kept the Twins in front heading into the middle innings. The Pirates had chances in the eighth against Cody Laweryson, but a Jared Triolo lineout cost Pittsburgh 23.3 points of win probability and a Jake Mangum fielders choice out shed another 18.1, stalling what could have been a decisive rally. Konnor Griffin did manage a fielders choice that added 16.5 points of win probability in that frame, keeping the door open just enough.
Reynolds finished as the night's most impactful player with plus 79.8 points of WPA and plus 2.0 RE24, the defining performance of the contest. Griffin and Larnach also registered prominently, at plus 17.3 and plus 16.8 WPA respectively, representing the game's two secondary narratives on either side of the matchup. On the mound, Laweryson led Pittsburgh's staff with plus 31.9 points of WPA despite the turbulence in the eighth, with Wilber Dotel adding plus 20.0 and Eric Orze contributing plus 11.0 to set the stage for Reynolds to close it out.