Cincinnati Reds at New York Mets: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| NYM | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | 4 | 8 | 1 |
The Story
The New York Mets defeated the Cincinnati Reds 4-2 at Citi Field on May 27, 2026, building their margin one run at a time before closing the door with three pitchers combining to strand any Cincinnati threat in the ninth. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the Mets just a 42 percent home win probability, but that figure climbed steadily through the middle innings and finished at 100 percent as the final out was recorded.
The decisive moment of the game came in the bottom of the seventh, when Carson Benge singled off Zach Maxwell to push the Mets ahead in a sequence that added 11.1 percent to New York's win probability. Benge finished as the game's highest-impact batter, generating a cumulative 18.3 percent in win probability added and a RE24 of plus-1.3. The Reds mounted their most credible threat in the top of the ninth against Devin Williams, with Nathaniel Lowe drawing a walk that added 9.9 percent and P.J. Higgins following with a walk that added 10.6 percent, briefly keeping Cincinnati's hopes alive. However, Williams answered by striking out Dane Myers — a swing of negative 12.8 percent for the Reds — and Blake Dunn — negative 11.6 percent — to end the rally and the game.
On the pitching side, Luke Weaver led New York's staff with 12.1 percent in win probability added, followed by Jonah Tong at plus-10.2 and Brooks Raley at plus-7.8, a collective effort that held Cincinnati's eight hits to just two runs. Lowe finished second among batters at plus-12.9 percent WPA with a RE24 of plus-0.9, while Higgins added plus-10.6 percent, though neither walk ultimately translated into a run as Williams maintained control in the ninth.