MLB Recap · May 26, 2026

Cincinnati Reds at New York Mets: Final Score & Recap

CIN7
Final
NYM2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CIN2003010107150
NYM000002000251

The Story

The Cincinnati Reds handed the New York Mets a 7-2 defeat at Citi Field on May 26, 2026, holding them to just five hits and sending the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a New York win from 40 percent before first pitch down to zero by the final out. Cincinnati's 15-hit attack did the bulk of its damage in two bursts, and the Reds committed no errors while the Mets were charged with one, reflecting the clean execution that defined the visitors' night.

The game turned decisively in the fourth inning, when the Reds pushed across three runs against David Peterson. Elly De La Cruz delivered a double that shifted win probability by 10.8 percent in Cincinnati's favor, and Tyler Stephenson followed with a single worth another 9.7 percent swing, building on the two runs the Reds had already scored in the first. Those two plays alone accounted for the bulk of the game's momentum shift. The Mets' most meaningful response came in the sixth, when Juan Soto connected for a home run off Chase Burns that moved New York's chances by 5.3 percent, but Mark Vientos grounded into a double play in that same inning against Sam Moll, a swing of negative 4.5 percent that effectively ended any realistic rally.

Stephenson finished as the game's top offensive performer, accumulating plus-13.6 percent in WPA and a RE24 of plus-2.0, while De La Cruz added plus-10.3 percent WPA and Luis Torrens contributed plus-4.8 percent. On the pitching side, Chase Burns led all pitchers with plus-13.1 percent WPA, and Sam Moll provided critical support at plus-8.2 percent. The model leaned toward the Reds throughout the middle innings, and Cincinnati validated that lean by adding an insurance run in the eighth to close out a comfortable road win.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CIN bats firstFinalNYM win %CIN win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 40.3% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Elly De La Cruz Double
Top 4th · off David Peterson
+10.8%
Tyler Stephenson Single
Top 4th · off David Peterson
+9.7%
Juan Soto Home Run
Bot 6th · off Chase Burns
+5.3%
Blake Dunn Grounded Into DP
Top 2nd · off David Peterson
-4.9%
Mark Vientos Grounded Into DP
Bot 6th · off Sam Moll
-4.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Tyler Stephenson+13.6%+2.0 RE24
Elly De La Cruz+10.3%+0.7 RE24
Luis Torrens+4.8%+0.6 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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