MLB Recap · May 25, 2026

Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

MIN1
Final
CWS3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIN100000000170
CWS12000000-361

The Story

The Chicago White Sox defeated the Minnesota Twins 3-1 on May 25, 2026, at Rate Field, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate shifting from a 57 percent pre-game home win probability all the way to 100 percent by the final out. The game was low-scoring and tightly contested through much of the early innings, but Chicago established its decisive advantage quickly and held it for the duration.

The two biggest scoring bursts came in the first two innings, with each team plating one run in the first and Chicago adding two more in the second. The blow that effectively shaped the outcome came in the bottom of the second, when Drew Romo launched a home run off Zebby Matthews, a swing that added 11.5 percent to Chicago's win probability and proved to be the game's single most impactful play. Minnesota had a chance to respond in the eighth inning when a fielding error off Bryan Hudson gave Austin Martin a base and added 6.7 percent to the Twins' win probability, but Hudson quickly extinguished the threat, retiring Kody Clemens on a flyout and Josh Bell on a pop out, plays that cost Minnesota 5.3 and 5.2 percent in win probability, respectively.

On the individual ledger, Romo finished as the top batter by WPA at plus-9.2 percent with a RE24 of plus-1.2, his home run off Matthews the clearest single moment that tilted the contest. On the pitching side, Anthony Kay was the game's most valuable arm, contributing plus-21.9 percent in win probability, with Bryan Hudson adding plus-8.1 percent and Grant Taylor contributing plus-7.2 percent as Chicago's bullpen closed the door on Minnesota's seven-hit effort.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIN bats firstFinalCWS win %MIN win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 56.8% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Drew Romo Home Run
Bot 2nd · off Zebby Matthews
+11.5%
Austin Martin Field Error
Top 8th · off Bryan Hudson
+6.7%
Austin Martin Flyout
Top 5th · off Anthony Kay
-5.9%
Kody Clemens Flyout
Top 8th · off Bryan Hudson
-5.3%
Josh Bell Pop Out
Top 8th · off Bryan Hudson
-5.2%

Top Batters by WPA

Drew Romo+9.2%+1.2 RE24
Byron Buxton+2.2%+0.1 RE24
Tristan Peters+0.3%+0.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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