MLB Recap · May 22, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

LAD1
Final
MIL5

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAD000000100130
MIL41000000-591

The Story

The Milwaukee Brewers handled the Los Angeles Dodgers convincingly on May 22, 2026, at American Family Field, winning 5-1 behind a dominant pitching performance and an early offensive burst that effectively settled the outcome before the game had much of a chance to develop. Milwaukee scored four runs in the first inning and added one more in the second, leaving the Dodgers to manage a single run in the seventh against an otherwise locked-in Brewers staff. The DiamondIQ model entered the game with Milwaukee holding a 56 percent home win probability, and by the final out that estimate had climbed to 100 percent.

The decisive sequence came in the bottom of the first, where William Contreras connected on a home run off Justin Wrobleski that added 4.9 percent to Milwaukee's win probability, and Jackson Chourio contributed a strikeout that, in context, swung the probability meter 6.4 percent in the Brewers' favor as Wrobleski worked through the frame with early command issues punishing Los Angeles. The largest single-play swing of the game, however, came from the opposite side: Max Muncy's strikeout against Logan Henderson in the second inning moved win probability 8.3 percent against the Dodgers, underscoring how thoroughly Henderson was neutralizing any Los Angeles rally attempt. Muncy was stung again in the fourth with a pop out that cost the Dodgers another 4.6 percent. Jake Bauers added a flyout in the bottom of the second that pushed Milwaukee's advantage another 8.0 percent in the model's estimate.

Logan Henderson was the clear standout of the evening, leading all players with a 16.9 percent WPA contribution, while Chad Patrick added 2.4 percent and Aaron Ashby contributed 1.1 percent as the Brewers bullpen protected the lead without incident. Among position players, Bauers finished at plus-8.2 percent WPA, Chourio at plus-6.9 percent, and Contreras at plus-5.2 percent with a RE24 of plus-2.8, reflecting his home run's direct run contribution. Los Angeles finished with just three hits against a Milwaukee pitching staff that faced minimal stress after the first two innings.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAD bats firstFinalMIL win %LAD win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 55.8% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Max Muncy Strikeout
Top 2nd · off Logan Henderson
-8.3%
Jake Bauers Flyout
Bot 2nd · off Justin Wrobleski
+8.0%
Jackson Chourio Strikeout
Bot 1st · off Justin Wrobleski
+6.4%
William Contreras Home Run
Bot 1st · off Justin Wrobleski
+4.9%
Max Muncy Pop Out
Top 4th · off Logan Henderson
-4.6%

Top Batters by WPA

Jake Bauers+8.2%-0.4 RE24
Jackson Chourio+6.9%-0.8 RE24
William Contreras+5.2%+2.8 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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