Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies: Final Score & Recap

The Cincinnati Reds handed the Philadelphia Phillies a 9-4 defeat at Citizens Bank Park on May 20, 2026, running out to a decisive road win that the DiamondIQ model's estimate tracked from a 52 percent pre-game home win probability all the way down to zero. Cincinnati collected 15 hits against a Philadelphia staff that never found consistent footing, while Andrew Abbott anchored the pitching performance for the Reds with a game-high plus-17.3 percent WPA contribution from the mound. The Reds scored in five of nine innings, bunching damage in the second, sixth, seventh, and ninth frames to pull away methodically from a Phillies club that managed only six hits.

The pivotal sequence came in the seventh inning, when Nathaniel Lowe delivered a double off Orion Kerkering that swung win probability by plus-24.0 percent, the single most impactful play of the night by that measure. Lowe finished as the game's top offensive contributor overall at plus-25.4 percent WPA and plus-2.5 RE24. The Phillies had their own significant moment in the bottom of the sixth, when Edmundo Sosa connected on a home run off Brock Burke for a plus-22.1 percent WP swing that briefly tightened the game, and Sosa closed with plus-18.6 percent WPA and plus-1.5 RE24 for Philadelphia. Cincinnati also got a meaningful contribution from Sal Stewart, whose plus-11.7 percent WPA and plus-2.7 RE24 reflected consistent run-creation value throughout the lineup. Blake Dunn's triple off Aaron Nola in the fourth added plus-7.7 percent, helping the Reds maintain their grip on a game they controlled from the early innings onward.