MLB Recap · May 19, 2026

Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap

CWS2
Final
SEA1

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CWS000000002240
SEA100000000110

The Story

The Chicago White Sox handed the Seattle Mariners a 2-1 defeat at T-Mobile Park on May 19, 2026, scoring both of their runs in the top of the ninth inning to erase a one-run deficit and silence a home crowd that had watched Seattle carry a lead through eight scoreless frames. Seattle's lone run had come in the bottom of the first, and it stood until the White Sox mounted a ninth-inning rally that swung the DiamondIQ model's estimate from a game in Seattle's control to a complete Chicago takeover.

The decisive sequence began when Miguel Vargas was hit by a pitch off Luis Castillo to put a runner on base, a moment that shifted win probability by 15.2 percentage points in Chicago's favor. Andrew Benintendi followed with a single off Andrés Muñoz, adding another 21.2 points, before Chase Meidroth delivered the most impactful swing of the night, a single off Muñoz that moved the needle a staggering 41.2 percentage points and keyed the two-run frame. Meidroth finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus 35.6 percent with a RE24 of plus 0.6. In the bottom of the ninth, Dominic Canzone's strikeout off Grant Taylor ended Seattle's final threat and contributed a 31.6-point swing to Chicago's ledger, making Canzone the second-highest WPA performer among batters despite a RE24 of minus 0.1.

On the pitching side, Bryce Miller led all pitchers with a WPA of plus 28.6, turning in a performance that kept Seattle's offense largely dormant, limiting them to just one hit on the night. Anthony Kay contributed plus 12.4 WPA and Tyler Davis added plus 8.4 in relief. The DiamondIQ model had opened with Seattle holding a 48 percent home win probability, but that figure collapsed to zero by the final out, a reflection of just how completely Chicago controlled the game's critical moments despite being held scoreless for eight innings.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CWS bats firstFinalSEA win %CWS win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 47.9% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Chase Meidroth Single
Top 9th · off Andrés Muñoz
+41.2%
Dominic Canzone Strikeout
Bot 9th · off Grant Taylor
+31.6%
Top 9th · off Andrés Muñoz
+21.2%
Miguel Vargas Hit By Pitch
Top 9th · off Luis Castillo
+15.2%
Colson Montgomery Strikeout
Top 9th · off Luis Castillo
-14.6%

Top Batters by WPA

Chase Meidroth+35.6%+0.6 RE24
Dominic Canzone+31.6%-0.1 RE24
Tristan Peters+11.1%+0.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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