MLB Recap · May 16, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

LAD15
Final
LAA2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAD10000504515100
LAA000002000282

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers demolished the Los Angeles Angels 15-2 at Angel Stadium on May 16, 2026, in a game that was effectively decided by a five-run sixth inning that broke it open after a scoreless first five frames. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the Angels a 29% chance of winning at home, and that probability collapsed to 0% by the final out. Los Angeles finished with 10 hits and no errors while the Angels committed two errors across their eight hits, compounding their pitching difficulties on what became a lopsided afternoon.

The sixth inning was the defining sequence of the game, and the DiamondIQ model's win-probability tracking captured just how quickly it unraveled for Angel starter José Soriano. Andy Pages drew a walk that shifted win probability 9.1 points toward Los Angeles, followed by a Max Muncy walk worth 6.8 points, and a Will Smith hit by pitch that added another 6.1 points, all coming off Soriano in the same frame. Those three plate appearances alone swung the game's probability nearly 22 combined points in the Dodgers' direction before the inning was finished. Los Angeles then added four more runs in the eighth and five in the ninth to reach the final margin.

Jorge Soler was the most impactful offensive performer by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, finishing with a cumulative WPA of plus-15.3% and an RE24 of plus-1.9, with two doubles off Justin Wrobleski — one in the fourth inning worth 7.3 WPA points and another in the sixth worth 5.6. Wrobleski himself was the top-rated pitcher in the model, posting a plus-14.4% WPA, while Blake Treinen added plus-3.6% in relief. Max Muncy and Will Smith each contributed meaningful WPA figures of plus-4.5% and plus-3.8% respectively, reinforcing how broadly the Dodgers distributed their damage across the lineup.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAD bats firstFinalLAA win %LAD win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 28.7% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Andy Pages Walk
Top 6th · off José Soriano
+9.1%
Jorge Soler Double
Bot 4th · off Justin Wrobleski
+7.3%
Max Muncy Walk
Top 6th · off José Soriano
+6.8%
Will Smith Hit By Pitch
Top 6th · off José Soriano
+6.1%
Jorge Soler Double
Bot 6th · off Justin Wrobleski
+5.6%

Top Batters by WPA

Jorge Soler+15.3%+1.9 RE24
Max Muncy+4.5%+1.8 RE24
Will Smith+3.8%+1.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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