MLB Recap · May 12, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks at Texas Rangers: Final Score & Recap

AZ4
Final
TEX7

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
AZ010000003441
TEX11014000-7100

The Story

The Texas Rangers defeated the Arizona Diamondbacks 7-4 at Globe Life Field on May 12, 2026, handing Arizona a loss that was never particularly close once the middle innings unfolded. The DiamondIQ model entered the game with Texas holding a 53 percent home win probability, and that edge grew steadily before reaching 100 percent by the final out. The Rangers collected 10 hits against Arizona's one error, while the Diamondbacks managed just four hits across nine innings.

The pivotal sequence came in the fourth and fifth innings, where Ezequiel Duran did the most decisive damage against Zac Gallen. In the bottom of the fourth, Duran connected on a home run that shifted win probability by plus 10.5 percent, the single largest swing of the game. The fifth inning compounded Gallen's misery when Brandon Nimmo roped a triple for a plus 5.8 percent swing, and a subsequent fielding error charged to the Arizona defense added another plus 5.6 percent in Texas's favor. The DiamondIQ model registered Duran as the game's top offensive performer with a combined WPA of plus 18.8 percent and a RE24 of plus 2.1. Jake Burger added plus 8.1 percent WPA and led all batters with a RE24 of plus 2.4, while Alejandro Osuna contributed plus 5.7 percent WPA. Arizona did generate a brief moment of positive leverage in the second inning when a Kyle Higashioka groundout into a double play suppressed a Rangers rally, swinging win probability minus 5.0 percent against Texas, though Jake Burger's single in that same frame partially offset it.

On the mound, MacKenzie Gore was the story for Texas, posting a game-high plus 16.8 percent WPA among pitchers, and Jacob Latz added plus 5.0 percent in relief. Brandon Pfaadt was neutral at 0.0 percent WPA working for Arizona. The Diamondbacks did plate three runs in the ninth inning to trim the final margin, but the outcome had long been settled, and the DiamondIQ model's estimate reflected that as it climbed to certainty well before the final frame.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025AZ bats firstFinalTEX win %AZ win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 52.8% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Ezequiel Duran Home Run
Bot 4th · off Zac Gallen
+10.5%
Brandon Nimmo Triple
Bot 5th · off Zac Gallen
+5.8%
Ezequiel Duran Field Error
Bot 5th · off Zac Gallen
+5.6%
Kyle Higashioka Grounded Into DP
Bot 2nd · off Zac Gallen
-5.0%
Jake Burger Single
Bot 2nd · off Zac Gallen
+4.9%

Top Batters by WPA

Ezequiel Duran+18.8%+2.1 RE24
Jake Burger+8.1%+2.4 RE24
Alejandro Osuna+5.7%+0.9 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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