MLB Recap · May 12, 2026

Los Angeles Angels at Cleveland Guardians: Final Score & Recap

LAA2
Final
CLE3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAA000001010281
CLE00101010-340

The Story

The Cleveland Guardians held off the Los Angeles Angels 3-2 at Progressive Field on May 12, 2026, with the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate giving Cleveland a 68 percent win probability that ultimately reached 100 percent by the final out. The Guardians did their scoring in increments, pushing runs across in the third, fifth, and seventh innings while limiting the Angels to a pair of runs on eight hits against one error for Cleveland and none for the home side.

The game's most consequential sequence came in contrasting halves of the eighth inning. Vaughn Grissom delivered a home run off Franco Aleman in the top of the eighth, a swing worth plus 14.7 percent in win probability that briefly tightened the margin and represented Los Angeles's best chance to take a lead. Cleveland answered immediately in the bottom half when Kyle Manzardo lined out with runners on, a plate appearance that, by sequencing, actually added 7.8 percent win probability to the Guardians' ledger as it ended a threat without further damage from the Angels' side. Earlier, Angel Martínez had provided Cleveland's cushion with a third-inning home run off Walbert Ureña, a plus 10.6 percent swing, while Oswald Peraza's sixth-inning triple off Tim Herrin gave Los Angeles a foothold that Nolan Schanuel could not extend, striking out against Erik Sabrowski in a minus 7.9 percent moment for the Angels.

Among individuals, Martínez finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus 19.7 percent with a RE24 of plus 1.6, while Grissom's solo shot produced a plus 8.7 percent contribution despite a slightly negative run-expectancy context. Brayan Rocchio added plus 5.3 percent for Cleveland. On the mound, Cade Smith led all pitchers with a plus 20.3 percent WPA, with Hunter Gaddis at plus 9.6 percent and Sabrowski at plus 8.5 percent rounding out a Cleveland pitching effort that kept the Angels from converting their eight hits into enough production to overcome the deficit.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAA bats firstFinalCLE win %LAA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 68.5% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Vaughn Grissom Home Run
Top 8th · off Franco Aleman
+14.7%
Angel Martínez Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Walbert Ureña
+10.6%
Oswald Peraza Triple
Top 6th · off Tim Herrin
+8.5%
Nolan Schanuel Strikeout
Top 7th · off Erik Sabrowski
-7.9%
Kyle Manzardo Lineout
Bot 8th · off José Fermin
+7.8%

Top Batters by WPA

Angel Martínez+19.7%+1.6 RE24
Vaughn Grissom+8.7%-0.1 RE24
Brayan Rocchio+5.3%+0.2 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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