MLB Recap · May 11, 2026

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

SF9
Final
LAD3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
SF0100023039120
LAD0002010003100

The Story

The San Francisco Giants handed the Los Angeles Dodgers a 9-3 defeat at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on May 11, 2026, a result that swung from a pregame DiamondIQ model estimate of a 70 percent home win probability all the way to zero by the final out. San Francisco was held scoreless through the first inning, then scratched a run in the second before the Dodgers responded with two runs in the bottom of the fourth on a Max Muncy single off Trevor McDonald, which shifted win probability by 10.1 percent in Los Angeles's favor. That Muncy single proved to be the high-water mark for the home side, as the Giants began dismantling the Dodger bullpen over the game's final four innings.

The sixth and seventh innings were where the game broke open decisively. Heliot Ramos delivered a double off Roki Sasaki in the top of the sixth that swung win probability 15.5 percent toward San Francisco, and though Muncy answered with a solo home run off Trevor McDonald in the bottom half for a 14.8 percent swing back toward Los Angeles, the Giants reclaimed full momentum in the seventh. Willy Adames laced a single off Will Klein for the single largest win-probability swing of the night at plus 20.4 percent, and Rafael Devers drew a walk off Alex Vesia that added another 13.7 percent, capping a three-run seventh that effectively closed out the contest before San Francisco tacked on three more in the ninth.

Adames led all position players with a WPA of plus 23.3 percent and a RE24 of plus 2.2, while Casey Schmitt contributed plus 22.4 percent WPA and plus 1.8 RE24, and Devers finished with the highest run-environment impact among hitters at plus 2.5 RE24 to go with plus 18.7 percent WPA. On the mound, Matt Gage was the most impactful reliever by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, posting plus 13.8 percent WPA, with Blake Treinen and Keaton Winn each adding positive contributions as well. San Francisco finished with 12 hits and no errors, while the Dodgers managed 10 hits but were unable to sustain any of their early advantages against a Giants club that dominated the middle and late innings.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025SF bats firstFinalLAD win %SF win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 70.1% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Willy Adames Single
Top 7th · off Will Klein
+20.4%
Heliot Ramos Double
Top 6th · off Roki Sasaki
+15.5%
Max Muncy Home Run
Bot 6th · off Trevor McDonald
+14.8%
Rafael Devers Walk
Top 7th · off Alex Vesia
+13.7%
Max Muncy Single
Bot 4th · off Trevor McDonald
+10.1%

Top Batters by WPA

Willy Adames+23.3%+2.2 RE24
Casey Schmitt+22.4%+1.8 RE24
Rafael Devers+18.7%+2.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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