Houston Astros at Cincinnati Reds: Final Score & Recap

The Cincinnati Reds handed the Houston Astros a 5-0 defeat on May 10, 2026, at Great American Ball Park, a result that moved the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Cincinnati win from 68% before the first pitch to a certainty by game's end. The Reds were held scoreless through three innings before breaking the game open in the fourth, a frame that proved decisive and accounted for three of Cincinnati's five runs.

The bottom of the fourth was where Houston starter Kai-Wei Teng unraveled. Sal Stewart's double delivered the biggest single swing of the night, adding 10.7% to Cincinnati's win probability, and Tyler Stephenson followed with a single worth another 9.5%. JJ Bleday's triple contributed an additional 6.6% in that same inning. The Reds added single runs in the fifth and sixth to extend the margin to five, and Houston never threatened meaningfully, finishing with just three hits on the night. Teng was also the victim of the two most damaging negative plays from Cincinnati's perspective, a Stephenson groundout in the second that cost the Reds 5.6% and a Blake Dunn lineout that subtracted another 5.2%, suggesting the Reds left some early opportunity on the table before their fourth-inning burst.

Andrew Abbott was the story on the mound, finishing with a model-leading 15.0% WPA among pitchers and stifling Houston's lineup across his outing. Bleday led all position players with a 10.6% WPA and a 1.1 RE24, while Elly De La Cruz added 5.6% WPA and Stewart contributed 4.3%. AJ Blubaugh and Tejay Antone provided solid relief work, adding 4.0% and 1.4% respectively, as Cincinnati completed a thorough shutout.