Minnesota Twins at Washington Nationals: Final Score & Recap

The Washington Nationals pulled away from the Minnesota Twins in convincing fashion on May 6, 2026 at Nationals Park, winning 15-2 to close out a game the DiamondIQ model's estimate had settled at 100% by the final out. Washington entered with a 57% pre-game win probability and justified that projection emphatically, turning a tight early contest into a blowout through a series of high-leverage hits that shattered whatever equilibrium the Twins briefly established.

The game's decisive sequence began in the fourth and fifth innings. CJ Abrams delivered a double off Bailey Ober in the bottom of the fourth that swung win probability 12.4 points in Washington's favor, and Drew Millas followed in the bottom of the fifth with a home run off Ober that shifted the outlook by an additional 20.5 percentage points, the single largest win-probability swing of the game. Minnesota had answered with a Matt Wallner home run off Miles Mikolas in the top of the fifth, a swing worth 13.0 points, but Washington's offense continued to grind and José Tena added an 8.0-point double off Andrew Morris in the sixth. The Nationals then put the game completely out of reach with a seven-run eighth inning.

Among the standouts, Wallner was the lone bright spot for Minnesota, contributing a single in the third and the fifth-inning home run for a combined WPA of plus-20.5 and a RE24 of plus-1.6. On the Washington side, Abrams finished with a WPA of plus-17.0 and a RE24 of plus-3.8, while Millas posted a WPA of plus-16.0 and a RE24 of plus-2.0. Mitchell Parker led Washington's pitching staff with a WPA of plus-6.7, as the Nationals held Minnesota to just three hits and no errors on their side of the ledger.