Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

The New York Yankees rolled past the Baltimore Orioles 9-4 at Yankee Stadium on May 2, 2026, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate had strongly anticipated, with New York entering the game as a 74% favorite and finishing at 100% implied certainty. The Yankees built their lead methodically across the middle innings, and it was the bottom of the third and fourth frames where the game effectively turned irreversible. In the third, Cody Bellinger's double off Kyle Bradish carried a win-probability swing of plus-8.0%, and an intentional walk issued to Aaron Judge added another plus-8.8%, signaling the Orioles' reluctance to let the Yankees' most dangerous hitter beat them. The fourth inning delivered the decisive blow when Trent Grisham sent a home run off Bradish that shifted New York's win probability by plus-13.2%, the single largest swing of the night.

Baltimore managed a brief counter in the fourth inning, when Pete Alonso connected for a home run off Ryan Weathers, a swing that registered plus-8.4% win-probability added and represented the Orioles' most impactful offensive moment of the game. They added two more runs in the sixth on Samuel Basallo's double off Jake Bird, worth plus-8.0% from Baltimore's perspective, but the deficit had grown too steep by then, with the Yankees having already plated runs in the second, third, fifth, and seventh innings to accumulate their nine-run total on 11 hits.

Cody Bellinger led all position players by a considerable margin, finishing with plus-25.7% WPA and a RE24 of plus-4.0, making him the clear offensive engine of the Yankees' effort. Trent Grisham was not far behind at plus-20.9% WPA and plus-2.7 RE24, while Alonso's plus-8.9% WPA stood as Baltimore's lone individual bright spot in an otherwise lopsided defeat. On the pitching side, Grant Wolfram led New York's relievers with plus-1.7% WPA, with Jake Bird and Tim Hill each contributing modest positive marks as the bullpen closed out a comfortable win.