Cleveland Guardians at Athletics: Final Score & Recap

The Cleveland Guardians erased a 56 percent pre-game home win probability for the Athletics and pulled away for an 8-5 victory at Sutter Health Park on May 1, 2026, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate settling at zero percent for Oakland by the final out. Cleveland scored in four of nine innings, building its lead through a pair of critical multi-run frames that gradually stripped the Athletics of any meaningful path back into the contest.

The pivotal sequence began in the fifth inning when Rhys Hoskins delivered a double off J.T. Ginn that shifted win probability by plus 16.5 percent, and Oakland's threat in the bottom of the fourth had briefly kept the game competitive, courtesy of a Zack Gelof single off Joey Cantillo that registered a plus 12.1 percent swing. But the Guardians broke the game open in the seventh, where Hoskins added a home run off Justin Sterner worth plus 14.5 percent in win probability, and Bo Naylor followed with a double off Brady Basso that pushed the swing to plus 11.7 percent. The Athletics' best counter in that same half-inning evaporated when Tyler Soderstrom struck out against Erik Sabrowski, a minus 10.5 percent blow to Oakland's dwindling chances.

Hoskins finished as the top offensive performer by a wide margin, accumulating plus 28.7 percent in combined WPA and a RE24 of plus 1.9 across his two pivotal hits. Chase DeLauter was similarly damaging, posting plus 20.6 percent WPA and the game's best RE24 at plus 3.8, while Gelof contributed plus 9.6 percent WPA for Oakland's side. On the mound, Sabrowski led all pitchers with plus 27.8 percent WPA in his relief work, and Matt Festa added plus 13.6 percent, giving Cleveland's bullpen the late-game control it needed to close out the road win.