Detroit Tigers at Atlanta Braves: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | 5 | 9 | 0 |
The Story
The Atlanta Braves defeated the Detroit Tigers 5-2 at Truist Park on April 28, 2026, a result the DiamondIQ model anticipated from the outset, having installed Atlanta as a 73% favorite before first pitch. The Braves built their margin methodically, scoring twice in the third inning, adding a run in the seventh, and closing with two more in the eighth, while Detroit managed its only two runs in the top of the ninth against a decided outcome. Atlanta finished with nine hits and committed no errors; Detroit managed six hits against one error.
The game's most consequential sequence centered on Mike Yastrzemski, whose double in the bottom of the third off Casey Mize carried a win-probability swing of plus-6.4 percent, and whose single in the bottom of the seventh off Burch Smith added another plus-7.3 percent, making him the game's top offensive contributor at plus-12.1 percent WPA and plus-1.3 RE24. Hao-Yu Lee provided the brightest moment for Detroit, pulling a double off Martín Pérez in the top of the fifth for a plus-7.1 percent swing, the largest positive play for the Tigers all night, though it produced no runs and ultimately reflected in his modest plus-0.2 RE24. Dillon Dingler also contributed positively for Detroit at plus-6.8 percent WPA and plus-0.7 RE24, though the offense could not string those moments into sustained pressure.
On the mound, Didier Fuentes was Atlanta's most valuable arm by win probability, contributing plus-13.6 percent WPA, followed by Martín Pérez at plus-9.8 percent despite surrendering the Lee double. Brant Hurter added plus-6.0 percent WPA in support. Casey Mize absorbed the difficult early innings for Detroit, overcoming early threats including a Yastrzemski double and consecutive groundout and flyout sequences in the first and second that briefly suppressed Atlanta's run-scoring opportunities. The DiamondIQ model's estimate moved to 100 percent by game's end, confirming that Atlanta's control of the contest was never meaningfully in doubt after the third inning.