The Los Angeles Dodgers shut out the San Francisco Giants 3-0 at Oracle Park on April 23, 2026, holding San Francisco to just one hit across nine innings. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the Giants a 30 percent chance of winning at home, a number that eroded steadily and finished at zero. The decisive sequence came in the fourth inning, where a Hyeseong Kim single off Logan Webb produced the largest win-probability swing of the night at plus 9.7 percent, and a Kyle Tucker double added another 6.2 percent to Los Angeles's advantage. San Francisco's best chance to respond came moments later when Matt Chapman grounded into a double play off Tyler Glasnow, a play that cost the Giants 8.5 percent in win probability and effectively sealed the game's outcome before the middle innings had concluded. Two runs crossed in the fourth and one in the second, and the Giants never answered.
Tyler Glasnow was the dominant force of the evening, finishing with a DiamondIQ model win-probability contribution of plus 31.6 percent, by far the most impactful performance of the night by either side. He limited San Francisco to that single hit while the Dodger offense did just enough behind him. Among position players, Kyle Tucker led with plus 5.5 percent WPA to go with a 0.4 RE24, while Dalton Rushing posted the best run-environment contribution at plus 1.1 RE24 alongside 4.1 percent WPA. Max Muncy added 3.8 percent WPA and 0.3 RE24 in a balanced offensive effort. Logan Webb absorbed the loss despite a 3.5 percent positive WPA contribution of his own, a reflection of how thoroughly Glasnow controlled the contest from the mound. The model leans toward crediting this outcome almost entirely to the Glasnow performance, which turned a competitive home-field scenario into a shutout by the game's midpoint.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.