MLB Recap · April 10, 2026

Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

TEX7
Final
LAD8

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
TEX003010003790
LAD0101120218150

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers walked off the Texas Rangers 8-7 on April 10, 2026, at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium in a game that swung dramatically in both directions before Max Muncy settled it with a home run in the bottom of the ninth off Jacob Latz, a swing worth 45.9 percentage points of win probability and the single most impactful play of the night. The DiamondIQ model had opened with a 54 percent home win probability before first pitch, but by the final out that figure had reached 100 percent.

The lead changed hands in a chaotic final two innings. Texas appeared to seize control in the top of the ninth against Edwin Díaz, with Ezequiel Duran's single serving as the catalyst for a three-run frame worth 33.4 percentage points of win probability, giving the Rangers a late cushion that briefly made a Dodger comeback look remote. The game's earlier turning point came in the top of the third, when Corey Seager connected for a home run off Tyler Glasnow that shifted win probability by 28.9 points in Texas's favor, while Andy Pages's double in the bottom of the sixth off Robert Garcia added 23.6 points for Los Angeles and kept the Dodgers within reach. A potential Dodger rally in the bottom of the fifth was blunted when Will Smith grounded into a double play off Kumar Rocker, a sequence that cost Los Angeles 20.0 points of win probability.

Muncy finished as the game's most valuable offensive contributor with a cumulative WPA of plus-62.1 percent and an RE24 of plus-3.0, while Pages was close behind at plus-47.5 percent WPA and a game-best plus-3.8 RE24. Duran, despite pitching for the losing side, posted plus-28.2 percent WPA on the strength of his ninth-inning work. In relief, Tanner Scott led Dodger pitchers with a plus-10.8 percent WPA, followed by Alex Vesia at plus-8.5 percent and Jalen Beeks at plus-5.4 percent, a trio that collectively preserved enough of the deficit for Muncy's walk-off to matter.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025TEX bats firstFinalLAD win %TEX win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Max Muncy Home Run
Bot 9th · off Jacob Latz
+45.9%
Ezequiel Duran Single
Top 9th · off Edwin Díaz
+33.4%
Corey Seager Home Run
Top 3rd · off Tyler Glasnow
+28.9%
Andy Pages Double
Bot 6th · off Robert Garcia
+23.6%
Will Smith Grounded Into DP
Bot 5th · off Kumar Rocker
-20.0%

Top Batters by WPA

Max Muncy+62.1%+3.0 RE24
Andy Pages+47.5%+3.8 RE24
Ezequiel Duran+28.2%+0.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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