The Athletics shutout the New York Yankees 1-0 on April 9, 2026, at Yankee Stadium, handing the Yankees their most lopsided loss by margin of hits, as Oakland's pitching staff held New York to just one hit across nine innings. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with the Yankees as 54% favorites and closed at 0%, reflecting a complete swing in game control that unfolded gradually before being sealed in the ninth. Jeffrey Springs led all performers by WPA at plus-40.6%, anchoring a pitching effort that was as dominant as the final line score suggested.
The game's lone run came in the top of the seventh, when Max Muncy ripped a triple off Ryan Weathers, a play that shifted win probability by plus-13.5% in Oakland's favor and represented the decisive offensive moment of the contest. Weathers nonetheless finished with a plus-25.7% WPA contribution, in part because an Andy Ibáñez double play in the sixth inning swung 7.5% back toward the Yankees. Aaron Judge's groundout in the eighth off Justin Sterner cost New York a minus-16.5% swing in win probability, a pivotal sequence as the Yankees began running short on opportunities.
The final chapter belonged to Hogan Harris, who closed out the Yankees in the ninth with the model's two most consequential plays of that frame. Ben Rice struck out to end the game, a result that registered as plus-31.6% for Oakland and made Rice the top batter by WPA at plus-31.7% despite a minus-0.2 RE24, reflecting how critical that final out proved in context. Cody Bellinger's pop out two batters earlier added another minus-8.5% swing against the Yankees, and the DiamondIQ model's estimate confirmed what the box score showed: Oakland executed a nearly flawless road shutout against a team that could not generate traffic.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.