MLB Recap · April 3, 2026

Houston Astros at Athletics: Final Score & Recap

HOU4
Final
ATH11

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
HOU001000102460
ATH01361000-11130

The Story

The Athletics handed the Houston Astros a convincing 11-4 defeat at Sutter Health Park on April 3, 2026, turning what began as a competitive game into a lopsided affair by the middle innings. The DiamondIQ model opened with a 54 percent pre-game home win probability for Oakland, and that figure climbed steadily toward its final reading of 100 percent as the Athletics piled up 11 runs on 13 hits without committing an error.

The turning point came in the bottom of the third inning, where Oakland did the bulk of its damage against Cristian Javier. Max Muncy delivered the biggest single swing of the game, a double that shifted win probability by 16.6 percentage points, and Lawrence Butler followed with a single worth an additional 9.7 percentage points, extending what became a three-run frame. Houston had briefly created some tension in the top of the third when Jeremy Peña doubled off Jeffrey Springs for a swing of 8.9 percentage points, but that momentum was immediately answered. The Athletics had already cracked the scoring column in the second on a Denzel Clarke single off Javier worth 7.6 percentage points, and a Tyler Soderstrom single in the fourth added yet another 5.3-point shift as Oakland pushed its lead to six runs through four innings. Houston managed to add two runs in the ninth, but the contest was long decided.

Among individuals, Muncy finished as the game's top batting performer by WPA at plus-17.5 percent with a RE24 of plus-2.2, while Butler surpassed him in run-environment terms with a RE24 of plus-3.8 to go alongside his plus-13.6 percent WPA. Clarke contributed plus-9.2 percent WPA on the night. On the pitching side, Jeffrey Springs led Oakland's staff with a plus-2.3 percent WPA contribution, while J.T. Ginn and Ryan Weiss each finished even at 0.0. Javier absorbed the brunt of Oakland's offense, surrendering key hits at each critical juncture as the Athletics controlled the game from the second inning onward.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025HOU bats firstFinalATH win %HOU win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Max Muncy Double
Bot 3rd · off Cristian Javier
+16.6%
Lawrence Butler Single
Bot 3rd · off Cristian Javier
+9.7%
Jeremy Peña Double
Top 3rd · off Jeffrey Springs
+8.9%
Denzel Clarke Single
Bot 2nd · off Cristian Javier
+7.6%
Tyler Soderstrom Single
Bot 4th · off Cristian Javier
+5.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Max Muncy+17.5%+2.2 RE24
Lawrence Butler+13.6%+3.8 RE24
Denzel Clarke+9.2%+0.9 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

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