MLB Recap · April 1, 2026

Athletics at Atlanta Braves: Final Score & Recap

ATH1
Final
ATL5

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
ATH000100000140
ATL02030000-570

The Story

The Atlanta Braves defeated the Oakland Athletics 5-1 at Truist Park on April 1, 2026, a result that moved the DiamondIQ model's estimate of an Atlanta win from 54 percent before first pitch to a virtual certainty by the final out. The game was largely settled across two innings, with Atlanta doing its damage in the second and fourth frames while holding Oakland to a single run throughout.

The decisive sequence began in the bottom of the second, when Drake Baldwin singled off Luis Severino to swing win probability 11.6 percentage points in Atlanta's favor, helping the Braves put two runs on the board. Oakland briefly answered in the top of the fourth when Shea Langeliers connected on a home run off Chris Sale, a swing worth plus-10.1 percent in win probability that briefly tightened the contest. Atlanta responded emphatically in the home half of the fourth against reliever Elvis Alvarado, with Baldwin delivering a two-out double worth 18.2 percentage points before Matt Olson extended the inning with a single worth an additional 5.6 points, pushing Atlanta's three-run fourth to cap a 5-1 final.

Baldwin was the clear standout of the evening, finishing with a combined WPA of plus-29.0 percent and an RE24 of plus-2.9, making him the single most impactful player in the game by the DiamondIQ model's accounting. Langeliers led Oakland's offensive contributions at plus-11.8 percent WPA despite the loss, while Chris Sale paced Atlanta's pitching staff with plus-10.2 percent WPA over his outing, ultimately getting the win after surviving the Langeliers blast.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025ATH bats firstFinalATL win %ATH win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Drake Baldwin Double
Bot 4th · off Elvis Alvarado
+18.2%
Drake Baldwin Single
Bot 2nd · off Luis Severino
+11.6%
Shea Langeliers Home Run
Top 4th · off Chris Sale
+10.1%
Matt Olson Single
Bot 4th · off Elvis Alvarado
+5.6%
Mauricio Dubón Pop Out
Bot 2nd · off Luis Severino
-4.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Drake Baldwin+29.0%+2.9 RE24
Shea Langeliers+11.8%+0.8 RE24
Matt Olson+7.1%+0.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
Open Game Center →