Chicago White Sox at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap

The Miami Marlins handed the Chicago White Sox a 9-2 defeat at loanDepot park on March 31, 2026, turning what opened as a fairly even contest into a decisive home win. The DiamondIQ model's estimate entered the game with Miami holding a 54 percent win probability, and by the final out that figure had climbed to 100 percent as the Marlins pulled away with a four-run fourth inning and added runs in the seventh and eighth to put the game well out of reach. Chicago's three errors compounded their troubles, while Miami's nine-hit attack produced clean, mistake-free baseball.

The game's most consequential stretch began in the third inning when Munetaka Murakami delivered a single off Janson Junk that shifted win probability by 13.4 percent in Chicago's favor, and Andrew Benintendi followed with a single worth another 6.6 percent, giving the White Sox a 2-0 lead at the time. However, the Marlins answered emphatically in the bottom of the fourth against Erick Fedde. Agustín Ramírez laced a double worth 12.4 percent in win probability, Owen Caissie drove in runs with a single adding 11.8 percent, and Heriberto Hernández extended the rally further with a single worth 10.5 percent, collectively erasing Chicago's lead and seizing control of the game.

Among individual performers, Caissie led all batters with a WPA of plus-12.0 and an RE24 of plus-1.3, while Murakami and Ramírez posted marks of plus-10.4 and plus-10.1 in WPA respectively. On the mound, Anthony Bender headlined Miami's bullpen with a WPA of plus-10.4, followed by Andrew Nardi at plus-6.2 and Calvin Faucher at plus-1.9, as the Marlins' relief corps held Chicago scoreless from the fourth inning onward to close out the comfortable victory.