New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals: Final Score & Recap

The St. Louis Cardinals blanked the New York Mets 3-0 at Busch Stadium on March 31, 2026, holding New York hitless in the run column across all nine innings. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving St. Louis a 54% win probability, and by the final out that figure had climbed to 100%, reflecting how thoroughly the Cardinals controlled the contest. St. Louis built its offense in two decisive bursts, scoring twice in the third inning and adding an insurance run in the seventh, while New York managed just three hits and never threatened to score.

The pivotal sequence came in the bottom of the third, when Victor Scott II delivered a double off Kodai Senga that shifted win probability 6.4 points in St. Louis's favor, and Iván Herrera followed with another double off Senga that moved the needle an additional 10.8 points and plated the Cardinals' first runs. In the seventh, Ramón Urías drove a home run off Richard Lovelady, adding 7.4 points of win probability and effectively closing the door on any Mets comeback. New York's best opportunity to answer came and went in the top of the sixth, when Juan Soto's double off Andre Pallante moved the Mets 7.8 points closer to a rally, only to have Jared Young ground into a double play off Gordon Graceffo that swung win probability 14.5 points back toward St. Louis and extinguished the threat entirely.

Gordon Graceffo was the game's most dominant individual performer by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, finishing with a WPA of plus 19.3%, the highest single-player figure on either side. Ryne Stanek and Andre Pallante contributed plus 7.2% and plus 6.5% respectively out of the bullpen to complete the shutout. Among hitters, Herrera led St. Louis with a WPA of plus 10.4% and a RE24 of plus 1.1, while Scott II and Urías each contributed plus 0.8 RE24 in support of a Cardinals pitching staff that gave the Mets no path to the scoreboard.