San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres: Final Score & Recap

The San Francisco Giants defeated the San Diego Padres 9-3 at Petco Park on March 31, 2026, finishing the game with 16 hits and no errors while holding the Padres to just six hits and one error. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving San Diego a 54 percent win probability as the home side, but that estimate collapsed to zero percent by the final out, reflecting how thoroughly the Giants controlled the contest. San Francisco scored in four separate innings, including a three-run first inning and a four-run sixth that effectively sealed the outcome.

The swing plays told the story clearly. In the bottom of the first, Xander Bogaerts flew out against Logan Webb in a spot that carried a negative 8.9 percent win-probability shift for the Padres, halting what could have been an early home rally. Webb continued to suppress San Diego through the third inning, where Miguel Andujar's single added 9.5 percent to the Padres' win probability, though San Francisco's lead ultimately absorbed the damage. The decisive sequence came in the top of the sixth, when Willy Adames singled off Kyle Hart for a positive 9.7 percent win-probability swing, and Heliot Ramos followed with a single off Bradgley Rodriguez adding another 8.8 percent, turning what had been a competitive frame into a lopsided affair.

Logan Webb was the most impactful individual performer in the game, finishing with a DiamondIQ model WPA of plus 13.6 percent on the mound, neutralizing multiple Padres threats including the Freddy Fermin groundout in the second that swung 9.7 percent against San Diego. At the plate, Harrison Bader led all hitters with a WPA of plus 13.0 percent, while Adames contributed plus 7.9 percent alongside a RE24 of plus 2.1, indicating he delivered in situations where base-out context made his production especially meaningful. Andujar added plus 7.1 percent WPA to round out a balanced Giants offensive effort.