MLB Recap · March 30, 2026

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies: Final Score & Recap

WSH13
Final
PHI2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
WSH41200200413171
PHI000020000272

The Story

The Washington Nationals handed the Philadelphia Phillies a 13-2 defeat at Citizens Bank Park on March 30, 2026, a game that was effectively decided in the opening innings. Washington scored four runs in the first and added another in the second, setting a tone from which Philadelphia never recovered. The DiamondIQ model's estimate entered the game with the Phillies holding a 54 percent home win probability, but by the final out that figure had collapsed to zero. The Nationals finished with 17 hits against one error, while Philadelphia committed two errors of its own in a sloppy performance at home.

The biggest probability swings of the game came early and told the story of Philadelphia's failure to answer. In the bottom of the first, Bryce Harper's flyout off Foster Griffin cost the Phillies 9.7 percent in win probability, and Brandon Marsh's flyout in the bottom of the second bled another 12.8 percent, each squandered opportunity allowing Washington to press its advantage rather than face any threat of a rally. On the other side, José Tena's forceout in the top of the second generated a 9.6 percent swing for Washington, and James Wood's strikeout in the top of the first added 8.5 percent, two plays that helped Washington control the game's early narrative. Rafael Marchán provided the only moment of note for Philadelphia, connecting on a home run off Griffin in the fifth that accounted for a 3.5 percent swing and two of the Phillies' runs.

Foster Griffin was the standout performer by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, finishing with a 24.0 percent WPA as Washington's pitching held Philadelphia to two runs across the full game. Among position players, Wood led with a 10.4 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.7, while Tena posted plus-11.5 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.3. Marchán's plus-1.9 RE24 was the best mark among all batters, though it came in a losing effort. Washington capped the lopsided afternoon with four more runs in the ninth, a final statement in a dominant road performance.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025WSH bats firstFinalPHI win %WSH win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Brandon Marsh Flyout
Bot 2nd · off Foster Griffin
-12.8%
Bryce Harper Flyout
Bot 1st · off Foster Griffin
-9.7%
José Tena Forceout
Top 2nd · off Taijuan Walker
+9.6%
James Wood Strikeout
Top 1st · off Taijuan Walker
+8.5%
Rafael Marchán Home Run
Bot 5th · off Foster Griffin
+3.5%

Top Batters by WPA

José Tena+11.5%+1.3 RE24
James Wood+10.4%+1.7 RE24
Rafael Marchán+4.0%+1.9 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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