Minnesota Twins at Baltimore Orioles: Final Score & Recap

Baltimore erased a four-run deficit to beat Minnesota 8-6 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on March 29, 2026, handing the Twins a loss despite an early burst of offense. The DiamondIQ model opened the game with Baltimore holding a 54 percent win probability, and while Minnesota grabbed a 4-0 lead through two innings, the Orioles methodically clawed back and ultimately ran the probability to 100 percent by the final out.

The decisive turning point arrived in the bottom of the fourth, when Tyler O'Neill launched a home run off Bailey Ober that swung win probability 25.0 percentage points toward Baltimore — the single most impactful play of the game according to the DiamondIQ model. The Orioles continued their rally in the sixth, where Dylan Beavers drove a double off Mick Abel for a 23.0-point swing, and then Pete Alonso added a single off Abel in the seventh worth 14.1 points as Baltimore pulled away to an 8-5 lead. Minnesota briefly threatened in the top of the seventh on a Royce Lewis home run off Yaramil Hiraldo, a swing worth 15.8 points, and James Outman drew a key walk from Tyler Wells in the eighth to close the gap to 8-6, but the Twins could not complete the comeback.

O'Neill finished as the game's top offensive performer by the DiamondIQ model's measure, posting a WPA of plus-23.7 percent and a RE24 of plus-1.9. Beavers and Pete Alonso were nearly as impactful, each topping plus-16.0 percent WPA. On the mound, Rico Garcia led Baltimore's bullpen with a WPA of plus-12.3 percent, followed by Yennier Cano at plus-10.5 percent and Grant Wolfram at plus-7.4 percent as the trio locked down the final frames and preserved the two-run victory.