The Milwaukee Brewers rolled past the Cincinnati Reds 9-1 on March 23, 2026, at American Family Field in a game that was effectively decided by the third inning. The DiamondIQ model entered the night giving Milwaukee a 52 percent home win probability, a number that climbed steadily and reached 100 percent by the final out as the Brewers built an insurmountable lead against Cincinnati starter Brady Singer.
The decisive stretch came in the bottom of the second, where Milwaukee did the bulk of its damage against Singer. David Hamilton's double was the single most impactful play of the game, adding 9.9 percent to Milwaukee's win probability, and Luis Rengifo followed with another double that pushed that figure up an additional 7.2 percent. The Brewers scored three runs in that frame and never looked back. Brice Turang added to the damage in the bottom of the third with a home run off Singer, a swing worth 7.8 percent in win probability. The Reds' most significant counterpunch came in the top of the third, when Ke'Bryan Hayes singled off Easton McGee for a 7.4 percent swing, accounting for Cincinnati's lone run, but that proved to be the extent of any serious threat. Spencer Steer's double off DL Hall in the fourth added 5.8 percent for the Reds but generated nothing on the scoreboard.
Among Milwaukee's individual performers, Hamilton finished as the top contributor by WPA at plus-12.3 percent with a RE24 of plus-1.9, while Garrett Mitchell posted the highest RE24 of the group at plus-2.3 to go alongside his plus-8.2 percent WPA. Turang rounded out the top three offensive performers. On the pitching side, DL Hall led Milwaukee's staff with a plus-4.6 percent WPA contribution, followed by Blake Holub at plus-3.9 percent and Jared Koenig at plus-2.3 percent, as the Brewers' bullpen locked down what the offense had built.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.