The Los Angeles Angels and Los Angeles Dodgers played to a 7-7 tie at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on March 23, 2026, a result that left the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Dodgers win at 0%, down from a 73% pre-game home win probability. The Angels scored four runs in the first inning to seize early control, then added two more in the fourth against a Dodgers club that clawed back with three of its own in that same frame and eventually tied the game with three runs in the bottom of the eighth.
That eighth inning was the decisive sequence of the afternoon, and its two biggest swings belonged to the Dodgers. Alex Call's double off Jordan Romano carried a win-probability impact of plus-24.5%, the single largest play of the game, and Dalton Rushing followed with another double off Romano for an additional plus-17.0%, collectively erasing what had been an Angels lead and forcing the deadlock. In the game's earlier going, Reid Detmers suppressed two significant Dodgers threats: Will Smith's strikeout in the bottom of the first represented a minus-14.7% swing against the home side, and Andy Pages' flyout in the second cost the Dodgers another minus-16.0% in win probability. Adam Frazier's groundout in the top of the first, meanwhile, added plus-13.4% for the Angels as they built their early advantage.
Among individual performers, Call finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus-28.7% with a RE24 of plus-1.2, followed closely by Rushing at plus-23.8% and plus-1.9 RE24, and Frazier at plus-15.0%. On the mound, Detmers was the standout by a wide margin, posting a plus-36.9% WPA to lead all pitchers, with Chris Campos adding plus-14.4% and Chase Silseth contributing plus-10.3% in support. The DiamondIQ model leans toward crediting Detmers and the Angels' bullpen for keeping the game within reach before Romano's late struggles allowed the Dodgers to salvage the draw.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.