The Athletics handed the Milwaukee Brewers a 13-4 defeat at American Family Fields of Phoenix on March 13, 2026, a result that moved the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Milwaukee win from 56 percent before first pitch all the way to zero. Oakland did the bulk of its damage early, plating three runs in the second inning and three more in the third to build a lead the Brewers never seriously threatened. The Athletics finished with 15 hits against Milwaukee pitching, while Brewers starter Kyle Harrison absorbed punishment across multiple frames.
The decisive stretch began in the top of the second, when Chad Wallach connected on a home run off Harrison that shifted win probability 8.0 percentage points in Oakland's favor. Later in that same inning, Michael Stefanic added a triple worth 5.8 points, and Jared Dickey drew a strikeout that contributed a further 7.2 points as the Athletics worked the count against Harrison. The biggest single swing of the game came in the third, when Tommy White doubled off Harrison for a 14.9-point win-probability move, a sequence that effectively ended any realistic path back for Milwaukee. The Brewers' best offensive moment by this measure came in the bottom of the second, when Luis Rengifo struck out against Gage Jump, a play that carried a 9.4-point negative swing for Milwaukee's chances.
On the individual ledger, Tommy White led all position players with a WPA of plus-15.4 and an RE24 of plus-4.3, making him the clear driver of the Oakland offense. Chad Wallach followed at plus-7.7 WPA and plus-1.4 RE24, while Jared Dickey posted plus-7.0 WPA despite a negative RE24 of minus-0.8. On the mound, Gage Jump was Oakland's most valuable arm, contributing plus-17.0 WPA to anchor a pitching performance that held Milwaukee to four runs and kept the Athletics in firm control from the middle innings onward.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.