The Athletics handed the Arizona Diamondbacks a 13-3 defeat on March 11, 2026, at Salt River Fields at Talking Stick, turning what the DiamondIQ model had opened as a 54 percent home-win situation into a complete rout. Oakland piled up 14 hits against Arizona's staff while holding the Diamondbacks to just five, and the visitors' two errors compounded the damage across a game that was effectively decided before the fifth inning was complete.
The turning point arrived in waves. Andy Ibáñez got Oakland rolling in the second inning with a home run off Ryne Nelson that swung win probability 9.4 percent in the Athletics' favor, and the Diamondbacks' best chance to claw back dissolved in the same half-inning when Anderdson Rojas grounded into a double play off Luis Morales, a swing of negative 10.8 percent that extinguished any Arizona momentum. Max Muncy followed in the fourth with another home run off Nelson, adding 10.9 percent to Oakland's mounting edge, and Shea Langeliers connected off Zane Russell in the third for an equivalent 10.9 percent swing. The decisive blow came in the fifth, when Tyler Soderstrom launched a home run off Thomas Hatch that shifted win probability 17.5 percent and capped a five-run inning that pushed the lead to a margin Arizona never threatened.
Soderstrom finished as the game's top performer by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, accumulating plus-19.5 percent win probability added and a RE24 of plus-2.3. Langeliers contributed plus-13.7 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.0, while Muncy added plus-11.8 percent WPA and plus-1.9 RE24. On the mound, Luis Morales led Oakland's pitching staff with plus-6.4 percent WPA, benefiting in part from that pivotal second-inning double play, as Oakland's bullpen held Arizona scoreless across the middle innings before the Diamondbacks added a consolation run in the ninth.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.