The Chicago White Sox routed the Colorado Rockies 12-3 at Camelback Ranch on March 9, 2026, turning what opened as a relatively even contest into a lopsided result through a single, decisive inning. The DiamondIQ model entered the game with a 54 percent home win probability for Chicago, but by the time the fourth inning concluded, that figure had climbed to effectively certain, finishing at 100 percent. Colorado managed to scratch across two runs in the eighth and one in the ninth against an already-decided game, but the Rockies were held scoreless through the first seven innings while the White Sox put together 16 hits and committed zero errors across nine frames.
The turning point arrived in the bottom of the fourth, when Chicago sent 11 runs across the plate against Colorado pitching. Oliver Dunn delivered a triple in that frame that swung win probability by 8.6 percent, and Chase Meidroth followed with a triple of his own worth 6.9 percent. Both hits came off Valente Bellozo. Dunn had already made his presence felt in the second inning, connecting on a home run off Kyle Freeland that added 7.6 percent to Chicago's win probability. Everson Pereira's grounded-into-double-play in that same second inning cost the White Sox 7.6 percent, briefly stalling the momentum before the fourth-inning eruption settled matters entirely.
Dunn finished as the game's top offensive performer with a cumulative WPA of plus-16.4 percent and an RE24 of plus-2.4, while Meidroth contributed plus-11.2 percent WPA and plus-1.6 RE24. William Bergolla Jr. added plus-5.7 percent WPA and plus-1.1 RE24 to round out Chicago's most impactful bats. On the mound, Mike Vasil led all pitchers with a WPA of plus-11.2 percent, suppressing Colorado's offense and holding them scoreless through his portion of the game, including a run-killing double play he induced from Ryan Ritter in the third inning that cost the Rockies 5.7 percent in win probability. Jedixson Paez contributed plus-2.9 percent WPA in relief, and Tyler Schweitzer finished at even.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.