The New York Mets shut out the Miami Marlins 9-0 on March 9, 2026 at Clover Park, a result that pushed the DiamondIQ model's win probability from a pre-game estimate of 54 percent in New York's favor all the way to 100 percent by the final out. The Mets struck early and decisively, scoring four runs in the first inning and adding another in the second before tacking on four more in the sixth to complete the rout. Miami's offense, limited to five hits and hampered by three errors of their own, never mounted a sustained threat, and the game turned sharply against the Marlins in the bottom of the first when Vidal Bruján's strikeout off Tyler Phillips swung the win probability 7.3 percent in New York's favor, a sign of how thoroughly the Mets controlled the pace of the contest from the outset.
The single most consequential moment of the game came in the top of the second, when Marlins catcher Brian Navarreto flew out against Zac Thornton with runners apparently in position to do damage, a play that shifted the win probability 10.0 percent against Miami. Thornton was the top-performing pitcher by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, finishing with a WPA of plus-13.0 percent, while Craig Kimbrel added plus-2.5 percent and Devin Williams contributed plus-2.3 percent as New York's pitching staff combined to blank Miami across all nine innings. On offense, Tyrone Taylor led all batters with a WPA of plus-10.5 percent and an RE24 of plus-0.3, with his second-inning groundout off Tyler Phillips accounting for a notable plus-8.4 percent swing on its own. Vidal Bruján posted plus-7.8 percent WPA and plus-0.5 RE24, and Heriberto Hernández contributed plus-5.4 percent WPA alongside the game's best RE24 mark among position players at plus-0.6. Miami's Maximo Acosta had the least fortunate day at the plate, generating negative WPA contributions in the sixth and fourth innings as the Marlins failed to find any path back into a game that had effectively been decided before the third inning began.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.