MLB Recap · March 9, 2026

Miami Marlins at New York Mets: Final Score & Recap

MIA0
Final
NYM9

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIA000000000053
NYM41000400-981

The Story

The New York Mets shut out the Miami Marlins 9-0 on March 9, 2026 at Clover Park, a result that pushed the DiamondIQ model's win probability from a pre-game estimate of 54 percent in New York's favor all the way to 100 percent by the final out. The Mets struck early and decisively, scoring four runs in the first inning and adding another in the second before tacking on four more in the sixth to complete the rout. Miami's offense, limited to five hits and hampered by three errors of their own, never mounted a sustained threat, and the game turned sharply against the Marlins in the bottom of the first when Vidal Bruján's strikeout off Tyler Phillips swung the win probability 7.3 percent in New York's favor, a sign of how thoroughly the Mets controlled the pace of the contest from the outset.

The single most consequential moment of the game came in the top of the second, when Marlins catcher Brian Navarreto flew out against Zac Thornton with runners apparently in position to do damage, a play that shifted the win probability 10.0 percent against Miami. Thornton was the top-performing pitcher by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, finishing with a WPA of plus-13.0 percent, while Craig Kimbrel added plus-2.5 percent and Devin Williams contributed plus-2.3 percent as New York's pitching staff combined to blank Miami across all nine innings. On offense, Tyrone Taylor led all batters with a WPA of plus-10.5 percent and an RE24 of plus-0.3, with his second-inning groundout off Tyler Phillips accounting for a notable plus-8.4 percent swing on its own. Vidal Bruján posted plus-7.8 percent WPA and plus-0.5 RE24, and Heriberto Hernández contributed plus-5.4 percent WPA alongside the game's best RE24 mark among position players at plus-0.6. Miami's Maximo Acosta had the least fortunate day at the plate, generating negative WPA contributions in the sixth and fourth innings as the Marlins failed to find any path back into a game that had effectively been decided before the third inning began.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIA bats firstFinalNYM win %MIA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Brian Navarreto Flyout
Top 2nd · off Zac Thornton
-10.0%
Tyrone Taylor Groundout
Bot 2nd · off Tyler Phillips
+8.4%
Vidal Bruján Strikeout
Bot 1st · off Tyler Phillips
+7.3%
Maximo Acosta Pop Out
Top 6th · off Ofreidy Gómez
-4.8%
Maximo Acosta Groundout
Top 4th · off Craig Kimbrel
-4.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Tyrone Taylor+10.5%+0.3 RE24
Vidal Bruján+7.8%+0.5 RE24
Heriberto Hernández+5.4%+0.6 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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