MLB Recap · March 9, 2026

Seattle Mariners at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

SEA1
Final
AZ2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
SEA000010000150
AZ000100001270

The Story

The Arizona Diamondbacks walked off the Seattle Mariners 2-1 on March 9, 2026, at Salt River Fields at Talking Stick, completing a tight pitching duel with a ninth-inning single that sealed the win. The DiamondIQ model opened the game with a 54 percent home win probability for Arizona, a figure that climbed steadily before reaching 100 percent on the final play of the night.

The decisive moment came in the bottom of the ninth when Adrian Rodriguez lofted a single off Tyler Cleveland that swung win probability by 37.4 percent, the largest single-play shift of the game and the hit that ended it. That dramatic finish overshadowed a difficult eighth inning for the Diamondbacks, where Aramis Garcia grounded out for a 11.5 percent win probability loss and Caleb Roberts followed with a pop out that cost another 9.3 percent, both coming against Blas Castaño. Arizona had also navigated a modest Seattle threat in the fifth, when Rhylan Thomas singled off Andrew Hoffmann to generate a 9.1 percent swing in the Mariners' favor before Brendan Donovan's single briefly pushed momentum back Arizona's way at minus 8.5 percent.

Rodriguez led all batters with a 37.4 percent WPA and 0.9 RE24, while Jhonny Pereda and Brady Counsell contributed 5.9 and 5.8 percent WPA respectively to round out Arizona's offensive contributors. On the mound, Casey Anderson paced Arizona's pitching staff with 13.5 percent WPA, followed by Blas Castaño at 10.9 percent and Gerardo Carrillo at 10.6 percent. Seattle finished with five hits and no errors but could not push across more than a single run, leaving the Diamondbacks with the 2-1 victory in a game that stayed close until Rodriguez's walk-off blow.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025SEA bats firstFinalAZ win %SEA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Adrian Rodriguez Single
Bot 9th · off Tyler Cleveland
+37.4%
Aramis Garcia Groundout
Bot 8th · off Blas Castaño
-11.5%
Caleb Roberts Pop Out
Bot 8th · off Blas Castaño
-9.3%
Rhylan Thomas Single
Top 5th · off Andrew Hoffmann
+9.1%
Brendan Donovan Single
Top 5th · off Andrew Hoffmann
-8.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Adrian Rodriguez+37.4%+0.9 RE24
Jhonny Pereda+5.9%+0.3 RE24
Brady Counsell+5.8%+0.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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