The Milwaukee Brewers handed the Los Angeles Angels a lopsided 7-1 defeat on March 7, 2026, at Tempe Diablo Stadium, erasing what had been a 54 percent DiamondIQ model pre-game home win probability for Los Angeles and running it all the way to zero by the final out. Milwaukee broke the game open early, plating three runs in the second inning and adding one more in the third, and the Angels never mounted a credible threat to close the gap. The Brewers finished with eight hits and seven runs while holding Los Angeles to a single run on nine hits, suggesting Milwaukee's pitching staff consistently limited damage even when the Angels made contact.
The decisive swing in win probability came in the bottom of the second, when Brandon Woodruff struck out Zach Neto in a spot where Los Angeles might have chipped into the Milwaukee lead, a play that shifted win probability by 9.7 percent against the Angels and proved to be the single largest probability swing of the game. Andrew Vaughn countered with the most impactful offensive play on the Milwaukee side, a home run in the top of the third off Grayson Rodriguez that added 7.6 percent to the Brewers' win probability. A Jesús Made single in the top of the sixth off Lucas Mahlstedt contributed another 6.3 percent shift, while a Sal Frelick caught stealing in the second wiped out a potential Milwaukee threat and swung probability 6.3 percent toward Los Angeles.
Jesús Made led all position players by a wide margin, posting a cumulative WPA of plus-14.6 percent and an RE24 of plus-2.8, making him the clear offensive engine of the victory. Andrew Vaughn added plus-7.0 percent WPA and Jorge Soler contributed plus-4.2 percent. On the mound, Brandon Woodruff was the standout performer, generating plus-13.7 percent WPA, with Easton McGee and Trevor Megill providing additional bullpen support at plus-4.9 and plus-4.0 percent, respectively.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.