The Chicago White Sox handed the Arizona Diamondbacks a 6-0 shutout on March 6, 2026, at Salt River Fields at Talking Stick, doing all their damage in just two innings and rendering the DiamondIQ model's pre-game 54% home win probability entirely moot by the final out. Chicago's six runs came in concentrated bursts in the second and fourth innings, while Arizona managed four hits and committed one error across nine frames without ever threatening to score.
The decisive sequences unfolded early. In the second inning, Oliver Dunn launched a home run off Landon Sims that shifted win probability 12.0 percentage points in Chicago's favor, and a subsequent Chase Meidroth groundout drove in an additional run worth 6.6 percentage points. Arizona's best chance to respond came in the bottom half of that same frame, but Tommy Troy's strikeout against Anthony Kay swung the needle 10.7 points back toward Chicago. The White Sox then extended the lead in the fourth on Jarred Kelenic's home run off Joe Ross, a blow worth 13.0 percentage points that effectively closed out any realistic path to a Diamondbacks comeback.
On the strength of those two drives, Dunn finished as the game's top offensive performer by both WPA and RE24, posting plus-11.7% and plus-2.0 respectively, while Kelenic followed at plus-11.0% and plus-1.7. The pitching story belonged to Anthony Kay, whose outing generated plus-18.6% WPA to lead all players in the game, supported by Tanner McDougal at plus-4.8% and Gerardo Carrillo at plus-3.1%. Chicago finished with six hits and no errors; the DiamondIQ model's estimate of Arizona's win probability sat at exactly 0% when the final out was recorded.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.