The Minnesota Twins dismantled the New York Yankees 15-0 at George M. Steinbrenner Field on March 5, 2026, holding New York scoreless across all nine innings while piling up 16 hits against a Yankees pitching staff that committed two errors behind them. The DiamondIQ model opened with the Yankees carrying a 54% pre-game win probability, but that edge evaporated quickly and finished at 0% as Minnesota built its lead steadily from the second inning onward, capping its most productive stretch with a six-run sixth.
The decisive swing of the game came from Luke Keaschall, whose fourth-inning single off Cade Winquest added 14.3% in win probability, the single largest WPA play of the contest. Keaschall had already done significant damage an inning earlier, connecting on a home run off Paul Blackburn in the third that shifted win probability by 10.2%. Combined, Keaschall finished as the game's most impactful offensive player at +25.2% WPA and +4.3 RE24. Ryan Kreidler extended the fourth-inning damage with a single off Winquest worth 6.9% WPA, while Tristan Gray got Minnesota's offensive momentum moving in the second with a double off Blackburn that accounted for 5.2% WPA and contributed to a +7.7% WPA final line. On the other side, Zack Short's strikeout double play off Taj Bradley in the bottom of the third was New York's most damaging moment, costing the Yankees 5.8% in win probability.
Taj Bradley was the pitching anchor for Minnesota, finishing with a team-leading +19.1% WPA on the mound, underscoring how thoroughly he shut down any hope of a Yankees rally. Geoffrey Gilbert added +4.2% WPA in relief, and Pico Kohn finished out the game at even value. New York managed only two hits on the afternoon, and the two errors only deepened a performance the DiamondIQ model essentially rendered hopeless by the middle innings.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.