The New York Yankees rolled past Panama 11-1 on March 3, 2026, at George M. Steinbrenner Field, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home win climbing from 54% before the first pitch to a virtual certainty at 100% by the final out. New York generated 11 runs on 13 hits while Panama managed just 3 hits and committed 2 errors against a Yankees lineup that did damage in waves, scoring in the first, fourth, fifth, sixth, and eighth innings.
The game's single most consequential play came in the top of the second, when Christian Bethancourt grounded into a double play off Max Fried, a sequence that shifted win probability 9.5 points away from Panama and effectively snuffed out any early threat the visitors could muster. The Yankees answered with their most productive stretch in the bottom of the fourth, where Paul DeJong's walk off Erian Rodriguez added 5.2 points of win probability, followed by Max Schuemann's forceout contributing another 5.0 points. Ben Rice drew a bases-loaded walk off Mason Vinyard later in the frame to push the margin further. Ryan McMahon had set the tone even earlier, singling off Jorge Garcia in the bottom of the first for a 3.8-point win-probability gain.
On the individual ledger, Max Fried was the standout performer, leading all players with a WPA of plus-12.6, a figure that underscores how thoroughly he neutralized Panama's offense. DeJong finished as the top offensive contributor at plus-8.7 WPA with a RE24 of plus-1.1, while McMahon matched that RE24 mark with a WPA of plus-5.4. Tim Hill added plus-5.4 WPA in relief, and Dom Hamel contributed plus-2.4. The DiamondIQ model favored the Yankees as narrow home favorites entering the afternoon, and the final margin made that lean look conservative.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.