MLB Recap · March 3, 2026

Panama at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

PAN1
Final
NYY11

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
PAN00000001-132
NYY20032202-11131

The Story

The New York Yankees rolled past Panama 11-1 on March 3, 2026, at George M. Steinbrenner Field, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home win climbing from 54% before the first pitch to a virtual certainty at 100% by the final out. New York generated 11 runs on 13 hits while Panama managed just 3 hits and committed 2 errors against a Yankees lineup that did damage in waves, scoring in the first, fourth, fifth, sixth, and eighth innings.

The game's single most consequential play came in the top of the second, when Christian Bethancourt grounded into a double play off Max Fried, a sequence that shifted win probability 9.5 points away from Panama and effectively snuffed out any early threat the visitors could muster. The Yankees answered with their most productive stretch in the bottom of the fourth, where Paul DeJong's walk off Erian Rodriguez added 5.2 points of win probability, followed by Max Schuemann's forceout contributing another 5.0 points. Ben Rice drew a bases-loaded walk off Mason Vinyard later in the frame to push the margin further. Ryan McMahon had set the tone even earlier, singling off Jorge Garcia in the bottom of the first for a 3.8-point win-probability gain.

On the individual ledger, Max Fried was the standout performer, leading all players with a WPA of plus-12.6, a figure that underscores how thoroughly he neutralized Panama's offense. DeJong finished as the top offensive contributor at plus-8.7 WPA with a RE24 of plus-1.1, while McMahon matched that RE24 mark with a WPA of plus-5.4. Tim Hill added plus-5.4 WPA in relief, and Dom Hamel contributed plus-2.4. The DiamondIQ model favored the Yankees as narrow home favorites entering the afternoon, and the final margin made that lean look conservative.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025PAN bats firstFinalNYY win %PAN win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Christian Bethancourt Grounded Into DP
Top 2nd · off Max Fried
-9.5%
Paul DeJong Walk
Bot 4th · off Erian Rodriguez
+5.2%
Max Schuemann Forceout
Bot 4th · off Erian Rodriguez
+5.0%
Ryan McMahon Single
Bot 1st · off Jorge Garcia
+3.8%
Ben Rice Walk
Bot 4th · off Mason Vinyard
+3.7%

Top Batters by WPA

Paul DeJong+8.7%+1.1 RE24
Ryan McMahon+5.4%+1.1 RE24
Max Schuemann+3.3%+0.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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