Great Britain defeated the Milwaukee Brewers 7-3 on March 3, 2026, at American Family Fields of Phoenix, handing the home side a loss the DiamondIQ model's estimate had pegged as unlikely from the start, with Milwaukee entering at a 54% pre-game win probability that ultimately collapsed to 0%. The game turned decisively in the fifth inning, when Great Britain erupted for five runs that effectively put the contest out of reach. Harry Ford's home run off Jared Koenig in that frame was the single most impactful play of the afternoon, swinging win probability 21.2 points in Great Britain's favor and anchoring what became a dominant half-inning. Earlier, David Hamilton had provided Milwaukee's most meaningful moment with a fourth-inning home run off Jack Seppings that shifted the Brewers' chances by 12.3 points, briefly giving the home side a foothold in the game.
Great Britain's offense generated 12 hits against a Milwaukee pitching staff that struggled to contain the damage, and Matt Koperniak was central to the visitor's success beyond Ford's highlight. Koperniak registered two singles among the game's highest-leverage batting plays, a fourth-inning knock off Aaron Ashby worth 9.2 WPA points and a fifth-inning single off Kaleb Bowman worth 8.0, finishing as the team's second-most valuable bat at plus-16.8% WPA and plus-1.7 RE24. Harry Ford led all players with plus-22.8% WPA and plus-1.3 RE24, while Ivan Johnson contributed a quieter but meaningful plus-8.5% WPA. On the mound, DL Hall paced Great Britain's pitching staff at plus-6.3% WPA, with Ryan Long and Nick Wells adding plus-3.5% and plus-2.5% respectively as the trio kept Milwaukee's lineup limited to five hits across the final five innings of the ballgame.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.