MLB Recap · March 1, 2026

Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals: Final Score & Recap

MIA3

Final

WSH0

Line Score

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIA	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	8	0
WSH	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0

The Story

The Miami Marlins shut out the Washington Nationals 3-0 on March 1, 2026, at CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches, scoring in the first, second, and sixth innings while holding Washington scoreless across all nine frames. The DiamondIQ model's estimate had the Nationals as modest pregame favorites at 54% home win probability, but that figure eroded steadily and closed at 0% by game's end.

The most consequential sequence in Washington's collapse came in the bottom of the second, when Joey Wiemer struck into a double play against Chris Paddack, a play that swung win probability 13.2 percentage points against the Nationals. The damage continued in the third, where Warming Bernabel grounded into another double play off Tyler Phillips, costing Washington another 8.6 points of win probability. Miami widened the gap in the top of the sixth when Heriberto Hernández deposited a home run off Riley Cornelio, a swing worth plus-10.3% in win probability that effectively sealed the outcome.

On the individual side, Hernández led all position players with a WPA of plus-11.2% and a RE24 of plus-0.5, while Daniel Johnson contributed the best run-expectancy figure among batters at plus-1.2 RE24 to go along with a plus-4.7% WPA. Robert Hassell III also added plus-6.3% WPA and plus-0.6 RE24. On the mound, Chris Paddack was the top performer with plus-14.4% WPA, followed by Tyler Phillips at plus-11.4% and Garrett Acton at plus-6.6%, as the Miami pitching staff combined to limit Washington to four hits without issuing a run.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.