The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Los Angeles Angels 4-3 on March 1, 2026, at Camelback Ranch, with Los Angeles holding on after a late Angels threat fell short in the ninth inning. The Dodgers built their advantage gradually, scoring in the first, second, sixth, and seventh innings against a club that surrendered 13 hits with no errors, while the Angels committed two of their own and managed just seven hits across nine frames.
The decisive sequence came in the top of the ninth, when the Angels mounted what appeared to be a dangerous rally. Kyren Paris delivered a double off Cody Morse that represented the single biggest swing of the game, shifting win probability by plus 25.9 percent in Los Angeles's favor on the batting side and narrowing the deficit with runners in position. However, Morse answered by inducing a lineout from Raudi Rodriguez that swung win probability 25.0 percent back toward the Dodgers, effectively neutralizing the threat, and Tucker Flint's groundout to end the inning cost the Angels another 16.6 percent, closing the door entirely. The DiamondIQ model's estimate moved from a 54 percent home win probability before first pitch to 100 percent by game's end.
Earlier in the contest, the Dodgers secured the margin that ultimately proved sufficient. James Tibbs III connected for a home run off Ryan Johnson in the bottom of the sixth, a swing worth plus 15.5 percent in win probability and the largest offensive boost for the Dodgers in that half of the game. Kyle Nevin added a run-scoring single off Austin Gordon in the seventh, contributing plus 13.1 percent. On the mound, Cody Morse led all pitchers with plus 15.2 percent WPA in preserving the win, followed by Cam Day at plus 14.3 percent and Kelvin Ramirez at plus 10.8 percent.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.