MLB Recap · February 27, 2026

Baltimore Orioles at Pittsburgh Pirates: Final Score & Recap

BAL1
Final
PIT6

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
BAL000001000181
PIT00000150-6122

The Story

The Pittsburgh Pirates handed the Baltimore Orioles a 6-1 defeat at LECOM Park on February 27, 2026, a game that remained scoreless through five innings before Pittsburgh pulled away decisively. The DiamondIQ model entered the contest with a 54 percent home win probability for Pittsburgh, and by the final out that figure had climbed to 100 percent.

The two teams traded single runs in the sixth inning, but the Pirates broke the game open in the bottom of the seventh with a five-run frame that effectively ended the contest. The biggest swing of the night came on a Jhostynxon Garcia single off Levi Wells that shifted win probability by 15.7 percent, followed shortly by a Yordany De Los Santos double off the same pitcher that added another 10.5 percent. Bryan Ramos had delivered the first meaningful blow in the top of the sixth, but it was for Baltimore, as his single off Justin Lawrence added 11.9 percent win probability for the Orioles in what proved to be only a momentary threat. Davis Wendzel also contributed a single in the Pirates sixth off Tyson Neighbors, a swing worth 9.3 percent. On the Baltimore side, Thairo Estrada's strikeout against Dennis Santana in the fourth represented the game's single costliest individual moment for the Orioles, costing them 6.1 percent win probability.

Garcia finished as the game's most impactful offensive performer, posting a combined WPA of plus-21.3 percent and a RE24 of plus-2.1, while De Los Santos added plus-10.8 percent WPA and Ramos contributed plus-10.1 percent. On the mound, Brandon Young led Pittsburgh's pitching staff with a plus-12.0 percent WPA contribution, followed by Shane Baz at plus-9.2 percent and Isaac Mattson at plus-8.3 percent. Baltimore's pitchers absorbed the bulk of the damage as Pittsburgh's bats came alive at the right moment, turning a tightly contested game into a comfortable final margin.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025BAL bats firstFinalPIT win %BAL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Bot 7th · off Levi Wells
+15.7%
Bryan Ramos Single
Top 6th · off Justin Lawrence
+11.9%
Bot 7th · off Levi Wells
+10.5%
Davis Wendzel Single
Bot 6th · off Tyson Neighbors
+9.3%
Thairo Estrada Strikeout
Top 4th · off Dennis Santana
-6.1%

Top Batters by WPA

Jhostynxon Garcia+21.3%+2.1 RE24
Yordany De Los Santos+10.8%+0.1 RE24
Bryan Ramos+10.1%+0.9 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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