The Pittsburgh Pirates routed the Boston Red Sox 16-7 at JetBlue Park on February 24, 2026, handing Boston a decisive loss that erased the DiamondIQ model's pre-game home win probability of 54% down to zero by the final out. Pittsburgh built its advantage steadily, plating runs in every inning from the second through the ninth, finishing with 21 hits against just one error, while Boston managed only 7 hits in a lopsided afternoon.
The game's most consequential swings came from Konnor Griffin and Jake Mangum, who controlled the win-probability ledger throughout the contest. Griffin delivered a home run in the top of the second off Ranger Suarez that shifted win probability by plus 7.8 percent toward Pittsburgh, then connected again in the top of the fourth off Seth Martinez for another plus 7.4 percent swing, establishing the tone of Pittsburgh's offensive dominance. Mangum complemented Griffin's power with a triple off Ryan Watson in the third that moved the needle plus 7.4 percent, followed by a run-producing single off Martinez in the fourth worth another plus 4.8 percent. The lone bright moment for Boston came in the bottom of the second, when Isiah Kiner-Falefa grounded into an out off Carmen Mlodzinski that carried a minus 8.5 percent swing against the home side, underscoring how thoroughly Pittsburgh's pitching staff neutralized Boston's threats.
Griffin finished as Pittsburgh's top performer by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, accumulating plus 16.4 percent in win probability added and a RE24 of plus 2.7, while Mangum posted plus 13.8 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 2.5. Nick Gonzales added plus 7.1 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 1.9 to round out a dominant Pittsburgh lineup. On the mound, Carmen Mlodzinski led Pittsburgh's pitching staff with plus 11.9 percent WPA, with Thomas Harrington contributing an additional plus 4.0 percent as the Pirates' arms held Boston to a modest seven-run output across nine innings.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.