The Milwaukee Brewers shut out the Athletics 10-0 at Hohokam Stadium on February 24, 2026, handing Oakland a lopsided defeat in which the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home win, which opened at 54%, fell all the way to 0% by the final out. Milwaukee scored in five of nine innings, building its lead steadily and never allowing the Athletics to threaten, committing no errors while Oakland committed one across a five-hit effort that produced nothing on the scoreboard.
The game's defining sequence came in the second and third innings, driven almost entirely by Tyler Black. In the second, Black launched a home run off Mason Barnett that added 7.7 percentage points to Milwaukee's win probability, and a Luke Adams strikeout in the same frame contributed an additional 4.3 points as Oakland failed to respond. Black then delivered the single most consequential play of the afternoon in the third, lacing a single off Blake Beers that swung win probability by 17.9 points in Milwaukee's favor. The Athletics' best chances to chip away came from Darell Hernaiz, whose flyout in the second subtracted 6.8 points from Oakland's outlook and whose strikeout in the fourth cost another 3.6 points, both moments representing the offense's inability to capitalize.
Black finished as the game's clear standout performer, posting a cumulative WPA of plus-28.4 and an RE24 of plus-4.9, numbers that reflect just how thoroughly he altered the game's win-probability trajectory on his own. On the mound, Angel Zerpa led Milwaukee's pitching staff with a WPA of plus-9.8, supported by Sammy Peralta at plus-3.1 and Coleman Crow at plus-3.0. Luke Adams and Blake Perkins also contributed positively at plus-5.0 and plus-4.0 WPA respectively, rounding out a complete team effort that left Oakland without a credible path to victory from the third inning onward.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.