The Chicago White Sox rolled past the Athletics 11-2 at Camelback Ranch on February 21, 2026, turning what opened as a modest home-side advantage into a dominant wire-to-wire victory. The DiamondIQ model entered the game estimating a 54 percent home win probability, and by the final out that figure had climbed to 100 percent as Chicago pulled away with multi-run frames in the second, third, sixth, and eighth innings.
The decisive swings came on both sides of the ledger. Edgar Quero's single off Wei-En Lin in the bottom of the third was the single most impactful positive play of the game, lifting Chicago's win probability by 7.9 percent, and it was preceded moments earlier by Luisangel Acuña's double that added another 5.8 percent. Brooks Baldwin had already set an early tone with a home run off Chen Zhong-Ao Zhuang in the second inning, a swing worth 6.7 percent in win probability. The Athletics' best chance to claw back came in the sixth, when Joshua Kuroda-Grauer doubled off Duncan Davitt for a 6.3 percent swing, but Bryan Lavastida immediately erased the threat by grounding into a double play, a sequence that cost Oakland 11.5 percent in win probability and effectively closed the door on any meaningful comeback.
On the individual leaderboard, Quero led all hitters with a WPA of plus-12.8 percent and a RE24 of plus-2.9, the clearest reflection of how central he was to Chicago's offensive production. Baldwin and Brian Serven each finished at plus-5.9 percent WPA, with Serven adding a RE24 of plus-1.4. On the mound, Jordan Hicks paced Chicago's pitching staff with a plus-5.0 percent WPA contribution, followed by Wikelman González at plus-3.5 percent and Davitt at plus-2.9 percent despite serving up the Kuroda-Grauer double. The White Sox collected 14 hits against an Oakland club that managed 11 of their own but could not convert them into runs against a staff that largely kept the Athletics' threats contained.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.