San Francisco Giants at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap

The San Francisco Giants held off the Seattle Mariners 4-3 at T-Mobile Park on August 24, 2024, overcoming a Seattle club that the DiamondIQ model had installed as a 54 percent pregame favorite. San Francisco scored in the first, second, fifth, and seventh innings, building enough of a cushion to survive a late Mariners push. Seattle managed only four hits on the night against a Giants staff that leaned heavily on its bullpen to preserve the road win.

The decisive swing came in the top of the seventh, when Mike Yastrzemski connected for a home run off Austin Voth, a play that shifted win probability 15.3 percent in San Francisco's favor and proved to be the decisive blow. Seattle responded immediately in the bottom half when Julio Rodriguez lofted a double off Jordan Hicks to tighten the margin, a hit worth 14.0 percent in win probability for the Mariners. However, Mitch Haniger grounded out to strand the threat, costing Seattle 14.6 percent in win probability. The Mariners pushed again in the ninth, but Randy Arozarena's groundout against Ryan Walker ended the rally and sealed the outcome, a play that swung 27.0 percent toward San Francisco.

Camilo Doval was the standout performer on the mound, posting a team-high 33.0 percent in win probability added as he navigated two tense late innings, including a 12.9 percent swing in his favor when he struck out Leo Rivas in the eighth. Offensively, Arozarena and Yastrzemski each finished with over 21 percent in win probability added, while Rodriguez led Seattle's contributors at plus-12.5 percent despite the loss. Starter Spencer Bivens also contributed meaningfully for San Francisco, adding 20.4 percent in win probability before handing the game to the bullpen.