Chicago Cubs at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHC | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
The Story
The Chicago Cubs dismantled the Miami Marlins 14-2 at loanDepot park on August 24, 2024, a result that moved the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Miami win from 39% before first pitch all the way to 0% by the final out. Chicago scattered runs across nearly every frame, finishing with 17 hits and no errors while holding the Marlins to just four hits over nine innings.
The decisive damage came primarily against Marlins starter Valente Bellozo, who surrendered the two biggest blows of the afternoon. Seiya Suzuki's home run in the third inning shifted win probability 14.9 percentage points in Chicago's favor, and Pete Crow-Armstrong followed with another home run in the fifth that added another 15.9 points. Those two swings, both off Bellozo, effectively ended any realistic path to a Miami comeback. A Connor Norby home run off Shota Imanaga in the bottom of the fourth represented Miami's most significant moment, a 10.0-point swing that briefly interrupted the Cubs' momentum, but the Marlins could not sustain any threat beyond that single flash. Michael Busch added a two-RBI single off John McMillon in the fifth, worth 7.5 WPA points, that pushed the lead further out of reach, and a Miguel Amaya double off Bellozo in the fourth had already contributed 5.8 points to Chicago's mounting advantage.
Crow-Armstrong finished as the game's top performer by WPA at plus-18.9%, with a RE24 of plus-3.0, while Suzuki posted plus-15.7% WPA and a RE24 of plus-2.2. On the mound, Shota Imanaga led Cubs pitchers with a plus-7.4% WPA contribution despite allowing the Norby home run, keeping the Marlins' offense otherwise in check through his time on the hill.