MLB Recap · August 24, 2024

Milwaukee Brewers at Oakland Athletics: Final Score & Recap

MIL9
Final
OAK5

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIL0300200139100
OAK1000021015120

The Story

The Milwaukee Brewers defeated the Oakland Athletics 9-5 on August 24, 2024, at Oakland Coliseum, handing the Athletics a loss that left Oakland with a zero percent win probability by the final out, down from the DiamondIQ model's estimate of 38 percent entering the game. Milwaukee posted its runs in bursts across the second, fifth, eighth, and ninth innings, finishing with 10 hits and no errors while Oakland stranded opportunities despite collecting 12 hits of their own.

The decisive swings came from Milwaukee's bats at key junctures. Jake Bauers delivered the biggest blow of the middle innings, connecting on a home run off Joe Boyle in the top of the fifth that added 17.0 percent to Milwaukee's win probability, pushing the Brewers to a commanding position. Garrett Mitchell then punctuated the top of the eighth with a double off J.T. Ginn, swinging the DiamondIQ model's estimate by 18.2 percent and effectively closing the door on any Oakland comeback. Oakland's most significant counter came from Brent Rooker, whose home run off Colin Rea in the bottom of the sixth shifted win probability 15.2 percent in the Athletics' favor, and Daz Cameron added a double off Jared Koenig in the seventh worth 11.6 percent. However, Tyler Nevin's ground into a double play off Colin Rea in the bottom of the fifth, which cost Oakland 7.3 percent in win probability at a pivotal moment, helped stall what could have been a rally.

Bauers and Mitchell led Milwaukee's offensive contributors by WPA, finishing at plus-22.4 and plus-18.1 percent respectively, while Rooker was Oakland's standout with a plus-24.5 percent WPA and plus-3.0 RE24 despite the loss. On the mound, Joel Payamps was Milwaukee's most impactful reliever, adding 13.3 percent to the Brewers' win probability, with Colin Rea contributing plus-6.4 percent for Oakland in a losing effort. The Brewers' ability to score in clusters while Milwaukee's bullpen held firm proved to be the defining dynamic of the afternoon.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIL bats firstFinalOAK win %MIL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 38.3% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Garrett Mitchell Double
Top 8th · off J.T. Ginn
+18.2%
Jake Bauers Home Run
Top 5th · off Joe Boyle
+17.0%
Brent Rooker Home Run
Bot 6th · off Colin Rea
+15.2%
Daz Cameron Double
Bot 7th · off Jared Koenig
+11.6%
Tyler Nevin Grounded Into DP
Bot 5th · off Colin Rea
-7.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Brent Rooker+24.5%+3.0 RE24
Jake Bauers+22.4%+2.6 RE24
Garrett Mitchell+18.1%+0.9 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
Open Game Center →